Josh Lowe brings a two-game homer streak into the Tampa Bay Rays’ (30-10) game versus the New York Yankees (22-18) at 1:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees are an underdog (+126 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Rays (-148). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 13, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -148 | +126 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won 28, or 77.8%, of the 36 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Tampa Bay has entered 28 games this season favored by -148 or more and is 24-4 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 59.7% chance to win.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 40 chances this season.
- The Rays are 26-14-0 ATS in their 40 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 2.97 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have come away with two wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, New York has won one of six games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 17 of its 40 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 20-20-0 in 40 games with a line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan
- McClanahan and his team are 7-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
- McClanahan will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
- McClanahan has started eight games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- McClanahan’s team is undefeated in the eight games he’s started this season.
- Games started by McClanahan have a 5-2-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 16 | 16 | 20 | 1.69 | 4 | 4 |
| Colin Poche | 16 | 14 | 8 | 1.29 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 14 | 21.1 | 17 | 5.06 | 3 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 14 | 12.1 | 12 | 7.30 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen Beeks | 11 | 18 | 13 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Nestor Cortes Jr.
- Cortes gets the start for the Yankees, his eighth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 4.74 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Monday against the Oakland Athletics, when the lefty threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Cortes has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season entering this matchup.
- The Yankees were named the moneyline underdog for one Cortes start this season — they lost.
- Cortes’ team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Cortes has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 16 | 14.1 | 16 | 1.88 | 3 | 1 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 15 | 16.2 | 22 | 2.70 | 3 | 0 |
| Clay Holmes | 15 | 13.2 | 18 | 3.29 | 1 | 4 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 14 | 14.1 | 15 | 3.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 14 | 17.2 | 18 | 5.09 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 19-8 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Tampa Bay has put up five or more extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 17-1 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 34 games this season, and is 23-11 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has a 22-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rays are 10-1 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 15-4 in those matchups.
- New York has won three of its four games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 18 of the 25 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- New York has a 15-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 7-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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