The Atlanta Braves (25-13) will look to snap a four-game losing streak when visiting the Toronto Blue Jays (22-16) at 3:07 PM ET on Saturday.
The Blue Jays are favored (-129 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Braves (+110). The game’s over/under is 9.5.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 13, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Braves Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -129 | +110 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 16 (61.5%) of those contests.
- Toronto is 13-8 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 56.3% chance to win.
- Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 38 games with a total this season.
- The Blue Jays are 20-18-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.44 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have been victorious in four of the five contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Atlanta has played as an underdog of +110 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over in 22 of its 38 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Braves have posted a record of 18-20-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios and his team are 3-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 6 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Berrios will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- Berrios’ team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3.
- Berrios’ team has won three of his seven starts this season.
- Games started by Berrios have a 4-1-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 19 | 18.2 | 24 | 1.45 | 9 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 17 | 15 | 19 | 3.60 | 1 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 17 | 17 | 20 | 5.29 | 7 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 17 | 12.2 | 13 | 1.42 | 3 | 1 |
| Anthony Bass | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- Elder (3-0) gets the starting nod for the Braves in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 1.74 ERA in 41 1/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
- His last time out came on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Elder will look to extend an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing).
- The Braves were named the moneyline underdog for two Elder starts this season — they won both.
- Elder’s team has a 6-1 record in his starts this season.
- Elder has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those matchups hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 19 | 18 | 23 | 7.50 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 18 | 15 | 17 | 2.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 17 | 18.2 | 22 | 2.41 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 15 | 16.1 | 20 | 3.31 | 5 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 13 | 13.2 | 19 | 3.29 | 1 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have hit two or more dingers in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those outings.
- Toronto has won each of its six games this season when racking up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 26 times this season, and has an 18-8 record in those games.
- Toronto is 13-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Blue Jays have gone 5-3 over the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They are 13-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Atlanta is undefeated in nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 21-4.
- Atlanta has won each of its 21 games with five or more runs scored this season.
- In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-3
Blue Jays vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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