The Washington Nationals (16-22) host the New York Mets (19-20) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Nationals are an underdog (+127 on the moneyline) when they host the Mets (-149). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 13, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -149 | +127 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 15, or 50%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 8-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -149 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 40 games with a total.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 15-25-0 in 40 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.08 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 14 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 16 of its 38 opportunities.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 24-14-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Joey Lucchesi
- When Lucchesi starts, his team is 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw four innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Lucchesi’s team has a record of 1-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Lucchesi’s team has won two of his four starts.
- In Lucchesi’s five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | 16 | 14.1 | 20 | 1.88 | 7 | 1 |
| Adam Ottavino | 16 | 15 | 16 | 3.00 | 4 | 4 |
| David Robertson | 15 | 17 | 24 | 0.53 | 4 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Jeff Brigham | 11 | 12 | 14 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams (1-1 with a 4.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his eighth of the season.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Williams will try to secure his seventh matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
- The Nationals have a 4-3 record in Williams’ seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Williams has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those matchups.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmo Ramírez | 16 | 19.2 | 8 | 4.58 | 2 | 0 |
| Hunter Harvey | 16 | 16.2 | 19 | 2.16 | 7 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 16 | 15 | 10 | 2.40 | 5 | 1 |
| Mason Thompson | 15 | 22 | 21 | 3.68 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 14 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 7 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit two or more round-trippers in 10 games this season, and are 6-4 in those contests.
- New York has had five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those contests.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits in 20 games this season, and is 13-7 in those contests.
- New York is 14-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 6-3 in the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 24 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-11.
- Washington has won 10 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 5-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+127)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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