Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 13, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 13, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (14-25) aim to continue their 24-game winning streak when they take on the Boston Red Sox (22-17) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park.

The favored Red Sox (-138 on the moneyline to win) take the field at home against the Cardinals (+119). The contest has a set total of 10.5.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of May 13, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Red Sox -138 +119 10.5

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Boston is 4-3 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Games involving Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox are 24-15-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 4.91
K/9 8.4

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in five, or 29.4%, of the 17 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won one of seven games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals have posted a record of 16-23-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 16
ERA 5.50
K/9 7.6

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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale

  • Sale and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, May 5.
  • Sale has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Sale’s team has won 75% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-1).
  • Sale’s team has a 5-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Sale’s seven starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ryan Brasier 18 18.2 16 6.75 1 1
John Schreiber 17 16.2 20 2.16 6 0
Richard Bleier 15 16.1 10 5.51 2 0
Josh Winckowski 14 24.2 19 2.55 5 1
Kenley Jansen 12 11.2 17 3.09 0 9

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Steven Matz

  • Matz (0-4 with a 5.70 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cardinals, his eighth of the season.
  • The lefty’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • Matz will look to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Matz start this season — they lost.
  • Matz’s team has won one of his seven starts.
  • Matz has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in three of those outings.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 18 19 21 4.74 4 0
Jordan Hicks 15 15 24 6.60 3 0
Chris Stratton 14 21.1 21 2.95 0 0
Génesis Cabrera 14 14.2 22 3.68 2 0
Ryan Helsley 13 16.1 21 2.76 2 4

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 10-7 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
  • Boston is 8-6 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits 27 times this season, and has a 17-10 record in those games.
  • Boston is 20-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 11 games this season, and are 9-2 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 15 of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 13 of its 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 30 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-12.
  • In 20 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 16-4.
  • In 13 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-8

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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