Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 12, 2023

The New York Yankees (21-18) and Tampa Bay Rays (30-9) meet on Friday at 7:05 PM ET.

The Rays are an underdog (+153 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Yankees (-180). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of May 12, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -180 +153 8.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 19, or 63.3%, of the 30 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has entered six games this season favored by -180 or more and is 5-1 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 64.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Yankees have an ATS record of 20-19-0 in 39 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 17
ERA 3.40
K/9 8.4

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won in two of the three contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Oddsmakers have given Tampa Bay the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +153 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 20 of its 39 opportunities.
  • The Rays are 25-14-0 against the spread in their 39 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 15
ERA 2.43
K/9 8.2

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole

  • Cole’s team is 6-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in five innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
  • Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • Cole’s team has a record of 7-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Cole’s team has a 7-1 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Cole has started this season hit the over two times in eight chances.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 16 13.1 14 2.03 3 0
Ron Marinaccio 15 16.2 22 2.70 3 0
Clay Holmes 15 13 17 3.46 1 4
Jimmy Cordero 14 14.1 15 3.14 1 0
Albert Abreu 14 17.2 18 5.09 1 0

Rays Probable Pitcher – Trevor Kelley

  • Kelley starts for the first time this season for the Rays.
  • The 29-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen in his last outing this season, his only action so far.
  • Kelley’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 16 15.1 20 1.17 4 4
Colin Poche 16 14 8 1.29 5 0
Jake Diekman 14 12.1 12 7.30 2 0
Kevin Kelly 14 20 17 4.05 3 1
Javy Guerra 11 13 8 6.23 0 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have an 11-4 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • New York has put up at least five extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 3-1 in those outings.
  • The team has strung together at least eight hits in 21 games this season, and is 14-7 in those contests.
  • New York has an 11-3 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 7-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 19-3 in those matchups.
  • Tampa Bay has won 17 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 23 of the 29 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a 22-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-1

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (+153)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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