Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 12, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-18) will look to stop a 30-game losing streak when hosting the San Francisco Giants (17-20) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Giants (-113 on the moneyline) meet the Diamondbacks (-104) in a projected tight contest. The total for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 12, 2023 at 9:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -113 -104 9.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been favorites in 16 games this season and won seven (43.8%) of those contests.
  • San Francisco has a record of 7-9 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -113 on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 37 games with a total.
  • In 37 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 17-20-0 ATS.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 3.44
K/9 7.0

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won in 12, or 50%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Arizona has a mark of 11-12 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Diamondbacks are 20-18-0 against the spread in their 38 games that had a posted line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 5.93
K/9 7.6

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Giants Probable Pitcher – John Brebbia

  • Brebbia helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday when he threw a third of an inning out of the bullpen against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing one hit.
  • Brebbia’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Brebbia’s team won in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Brebbia with a total this season hit the under.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 17 16.1 23 2.20 0 8
Tyler Rogers 16 19 16 2.37 7 1
John Brebbia 15 13.2 21 5.93 5 0
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0
Taylor Rogers 14 10.2 8 5.91 1 1

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson

  • Nelson makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his eighth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 22 strikeouts over 36 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, the right-hander threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Nelson is looking to record his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 1-3 record in Nelson’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Nelson’s team is 1-6 over his seven starts.
  • Nelson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of seven contests.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 18 18 17 5.00 6 1
Andrew Chafin 16 13.2 23 4.61 1 5
Miguel Castro 16 16 12 3.38 6 1
Kevin Ginkel 16 16.1 11 3.86 1 0
Kyle Nelson 15 14.2 18 1.23 2 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit two or more long balls in 17 games this season, and are 10-7 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits in 17 games this season, and is 9-8 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has an 11-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 6-5 in those contests.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 7-5 in those matchups.
  • Arizona has won six of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 17-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Arizona has a 17-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 3-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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