The Kansas City Royals (12-27) are looking for continued power from a batter on a roll against the Milwaukee Brewers (20-17) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at American Family Field. Michael Massey is riding a two-game homer streak.
The Brewers are heavily favored (-279 on the moneyline) when they take on the Royals (+233). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of May 12, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -279 | +233 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 22 times and won 12, or 54.5%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -279 odds on them winning this game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 73.6% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 37 chances this season.
- In 37 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 17-20-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has played as an underdog of +233 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 30% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 39 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 15-24-0 in 39 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.10 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 3-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Burnes has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- When Burnes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-3.
- Burnes’ team has won four of his seven starts.
- Out of Burnes’ seven starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 18 | 14 | 10 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 17 | 16 | 13 | 3.94 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 16 | 17.1 | 16 | 2.60 | 2 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 12 | 11.1 | 16 | 0.79 | 0 | 5 |
| Bryse Wilson | 11 | 20 | 21 | 2.70 | 1 | 2 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Josh Taylor
- Taylor makes his first start of the season for the Royals.
- The 30-year-old lefty has appeared in relief nine times this season.
- Taylor never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Garrett | 17 | 15.2 | 16 | 3.45 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Cuas | 16 | 15.2 | 20 | 5.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 15 | 18.1 | 22 | 4.42 | 3 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 14 | 13.2 | 21 | 3.95 | 4 | 1 |
| Taylor Clarke | 14 | 18 | 24 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit two or more round-trippers in 15 games this season, and are 11-4 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won each of its three games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits 20 times this season, and has a 15-5 record in those games.
- Milwaukee is 15-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers have gone 10-3 in the 13 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 3-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has gone 6-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 21 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 10-11.
- In 14 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 9-5.
- They have won one of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-279)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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