The Miami Marlins (19-19) and Cincinnati Reds (16-21) square off on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at LoanDepot park.
The Reds (+124 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Marlins (-145). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of May 12, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -145 | +124 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won seven, or 53.8%, of the 13 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as favorites of -145 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of 38 games with a total.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 15-23-0 in 38 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (38.5%) in those games.
- This year, Cincinnati has won five of 19 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 19 of 37 chances this season.
- The Reds are 23-14-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Marlins or Reds, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Bryan Hoeing
- Hoeing’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed a third of an inning without a run or hit allowed in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- This will be Hoeing’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Hoeing’s team has won two of his three starts this season.
- Games Hoeing has started this season hit the over two times in three chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 4.41 | 0 | 1 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 16 | 22.1 | 27 | 2.01 | 5 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 15 | 16.2 | 15 | 1.62 | 5 | 1 |
| A.J. Puk | 14 | 14.2 | 19 | 3.68 | 0 | 6 |
| Matt Barnes | 14 | 16 | 16 | 3.94 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his eighth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, the righty threw 1 2/3 innings, allowing eight earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Ashcraft is trying to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Ashcraft’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
- In Ashcraft’s seven starts, his team is 4-3.
- Ashcraft’s starts went over the run total three times in seven games with a set total this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 17 | 19.1 | 19 | 2.79 | 2 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 16 | 16.1 | 20 | 3.31 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 16 | 15.2 | 16 | 2.30 | 4 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 16 | 18.1 | 16 | 2.95 | 2 | 0 |
| Alexis Diaz | 14 | 12.1 | 24 | 2.19 | 1 | 7 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 5-3 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Miami is undefeated in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 15-14 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Miami is 13-1 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in four games this season, and are 2-2 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the five games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 2-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 13-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 15 of its 17 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won five of their nine games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
