The New York Mets hope to break their 12-game losing run versus the Washington Nationals (16-21), on Friday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals are an underdog (+104 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Mets (-122). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 12, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -122 | +104 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have won 14 out of the 29 games, or 48.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York is 12-13 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 39 games with a total.
- The Mets are 15-24-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.29 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 16 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 15 of 36 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of its 37 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 23-14-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Megill has made five starts of five or more innings in seven chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
- When Megill starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-2.
- Megill’s team has won four of his seven starts.
- Games Megill has started this season hit the over one time in seven chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | 15 | 14 | 19 | 1.93 | 7 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3.21 | 3 | 4 |
| David Robertson | 14 | 15.1 | 20 | 0.59 | 3 | 7 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| Jeff Brigham | 10 | 11 | 14 | 3.27 | 1 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore (3-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his eighth of the season.
- The lefty’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Gore has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this season heading into this game.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
- Gore’s team has a 3-4 record in his starts this season.
- Gore has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and two of those outings finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erasmo Ramírez | 15 | 17.2 | 8 | 5.09 | 2 | 0 |
| Mason Thompson | 15 | 22 | 21 | 3.68 | 1 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 15 | 14.2 | 10 | 1.84 | 5 | 1 |
| Hunter Harvey | 15 | 15.2 | 18 | 2.30 | 7 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 14 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 7 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 6-4 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in 19 games this season, and is 12-7 in those contests.
- New York has a 14-5 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mets have drawn at least five walks in nine games this season, and are 6-3 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 13-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 10-5.
- They have a 5-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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