The Minnesota Twins (21-17) aim to add to their 17-game winning streak when they meet the Chicago Cubs (18-19) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at Target Field.
The Cubs are an underdog (+141 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Twins (-166). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 12, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -166 | +141 | 7.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 18 out of the 25 games, or 72%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has entered eight games this season favored by -166 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 62.4%.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 14 of 38 chances this season.
- The Twins are 20-18-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.74 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Chicago has been listed as an underdog of +141 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of its 37 opportunities.
- The Cubs are 21-16-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.84 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- When Gray starts, his team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up three earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Gray has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Gray and his team have won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- In games Gray has started, his team is 5-2.
- In games Gray has started this season, the teams are 2-4-1 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 17 | 15.2 | 16 | 3.45 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 17 | 17 | 13 | 1.59 | 6 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 15 | 14.2 | 17 | 1.84 | 0 | 7 |
| Emilio Pagán | 12 | 15.2 | 15 | 4.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 12 | 14.2 | 17 | 5.52 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- Smyly gets the start for the Cubs, his eighth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 34 strikeouts through 38 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Smyly heads into the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for three Smyly starts this season — they won every game.
- Smyly’s team has compiled a 5-2 record in his seven starts.
- Smyly has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in two of those outings.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 16 | 14 | 12 | 3.86 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Fulmer | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 5.51 | 3 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 16 | 25 | 1.13 | 7 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 13.2 | 16 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Merryweather | 14 | 14 | 16 | 5.79 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 12-2 record in games this season when they smash two or more home runs.
- Minnesota has put up five or more extra-base hits in five games this season, and won every time.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 20 games this season, and is 15-5 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 15-2 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Twins are 5-5 in the 10 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won nine of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has won eight of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-9.
- Chicago has won 13 of its 16 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 6-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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