Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 12, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2023

The San Diego Padres (19-19) take a 17-game losing streak into a home contest versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (23-15), at 10:10 PM ET on Friday.

The favored Dodgers (-139 on the moneyline) play at home against the Padres (+120). The over/under for the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 12, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -139 +120 9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 34 times and won 21, or 61.8%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 16-11, a 59.3% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 58.2% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of 38 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 20-18-0 against the spread in their 38 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 17
ERA 3.03
K/9 8.9

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 13 of 38 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 19-19-0 against the spread in their 38 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 2.25
K/9 8.5

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Dustin May

  • May’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • May will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • May’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games May has started, his team is 4-3.
  • Out of May’s seven starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 16 15.1 11 6.46 2 0
Brusdar Graterol 16 15 13 3.00 3 2
Phil Bickford 15 16.2 21 5.40 1 0
Evan Phillips 14 12.1 16 2.19 2 6
Shelby Miller 14 16.1 16 2.20 0 1

Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • Snell (1-5 with a 4.89 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Padres, his eighth of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the left-hander tossed six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering one hit.
  • Snell is looking for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
  • The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for three Snell starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • Over Snell’s seven starts, his team is 1-6.
  • Snell has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 19 17.2 11 2.55 6 0
Steven Wilson 18 19 24 3.79 8 0
Josh Hader 17 17 23 1.06 0 11
Luís Garcia 16 15 13 6.00 7 0
Brent Honeywell Jr. 15 21 19 4.29 3 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 16-4 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles has gone 11-3 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits in 20 games this season, and is 17-3 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 21-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 16-6 in those contests.

Padres Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 7-7 in those matchups.
  • San Diego has won six of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 14-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 17 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 15-2.
  • They have won 11 of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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