The Baltimore Orioles (24-13) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (21-17) to start a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. The Orioles are coming off a series victory over the Rays, and the Pirates a series loss to the Rockies.
The favored Orioles (-152 on the moneyline to win) host the Pirates (+129). The total for this game is 9.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of May 12, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -152 | +129 | 9 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been favorites in 19 games this season and won 15 (78.9%) of those contests.
- This season Baltimore has won 10 of its 13 games, or 76.9%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of 37 opportunities.
- In 37 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 23-14-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.20 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 13 wins in the 27 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 38 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 21-17-0 in 38 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.5 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish and his team are 4-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Bradish has made two starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 3.8 frames when he pitches.
- Bradish’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bradish’s team is 3-2 when he starts this season.
- Out of Bradish’s five starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 18 | 17.2 | 22 | 2.04 | 8 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 17 | 17 | 30 | 1.59 | 0 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 17 | 13.2 | 12 | 4.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 16 | 19 | 19 | 3.79 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 16 | 12.2 | 18 | 2.84 | 8 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo (2-3 with a 5.59 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his eighth of the season.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw five innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
- Oviedo has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this year heading into this matchup.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in four of Oviedo’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
- Oviedo’s team has won three of his seven starts.
- Oviedo has started seven games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 15 | 15 | 19 | 0.60 | 0 | 9 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 15 | 16.2 | 10 | 4.32 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 15 | 18 | 25 | 2.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Colin Holderman | 15 | 15 | 17 | 3.00 | 9 | 0 |
| Jose Hernandez | 14 | 16 | 17 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have put up two or more round-trippers in 15 games this season, and are 10-5 in those outings.
- Baltimore has racked up five or more extra-base hits in eight games this season, and has gone 7-1 in those contests.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 21 times this season, and has a 14-7 record in those games.
- Baltimore has a 17-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 9-2 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 13-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won each of its 10 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have won 14 of the 19 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-2.
- They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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