The Boston Red Sox (22-16) and St. Louis Cardinals (13-25) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are coming off a series split with the Braves, and the Cardinals a series win over the Cubs.
The Red Sox are favored at home (-117) against the Cardinals (+100). The over/under for this game is set at 11.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 12, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -117 | +100 | 11 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won nine out of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Boston has entered 13 games this season favored by -117 or more and is 8-5 in those contests.
- The Red Sox have a 53.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 38 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 24-14-0 against the spread in their 38 chances this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have come away with four wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, St. Louis has won three of 12 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 20 of its 38 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cardinals have posted a record of 15-23-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.56 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – James Paxton
- The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 34-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
- Paxton did not pitch as the moneyline favorite last season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 17.2 | 15 | 7.13 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 15 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 14 | 24 | 19 | 1.5 | 5 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 12 | 11.2 | 17 | 0.77 | 0 | 9 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright (0-0) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals, his second this season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed five innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- The Cardinals have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Wainwright starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Wainwright’s lone start with a total this season went over.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 18 | 19 | 21 | 4.74 | 4 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 15 | 15 | 24 | 6.6 | 3 | 0 |
| Chris Stratton | 14 | 21.1 | 21 | 2.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 14 | 14.1 | 21 | 2.51 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 13 | 14.1 | 17 | 3.14 | 2 | 4 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 10-3 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston is 8-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 17-6 in those contests.
- Boston is 20-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have gone 9-2 in the 11 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 14 games this season and are 9-5 in those matchups.
- St. Louis has won seven of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 12-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has won 10 of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won five of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Under (11)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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