The Atlanta Braves (25-12) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (21-16) to open a three-game series at Rogers Centre, with first pitch at 7:07 PM ET on Friday. The Braves are on the back of a series split with the Red Sox, and the Blue Jays a series loss to the Phillies.
The Blue Jays are an underdog at home (+133) against the Braves (-157). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 12, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -157 | +133 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 21, or 65.6%, of the 32 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 13-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -157 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 61.1%.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 22 of its 37 chances.
- The Braves are 18-19-0 ATS in their 37 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.91 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (45.5%) in those games.
- Toronto has played as an underdog of +133 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 42.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Blue Jays have posted a record of 19-18-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 3-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
- Strider will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- Strider and his team have won each of the seven games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Strider’s team has yet to lose any of his starts this season.
- In games Strider has started this season, the teams are 6-1-0 at hitting the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 19 | 18 | 23 | 7.50 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 18 | 15 | 17 | 2.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 17 | 18.2 | 22 | 2.41 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 15 | 16.1 | 20 | 3.31 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 13 | 11.1 | 15 | 3.97 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt
- Bassitt makes the start for the Blue Jays, his eighth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last appearance came on Friday, May 5 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
- Bassitt will look to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- The Blue Jays are 2-1 in Bassitt’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bassitt’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Bassitt has started seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 19 | 18.2 | 24 | 1.45 | 9 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 17 | 15 | 19 | 3.60 | 1 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 17 | 17 | 20 | 5.29 | 7 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 17 | 12.2 | 13 | 1.42 | 3 | 1 |
| Anthony Bass | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 13-1 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Atlanta has collected at least five extra-base hits in nine games this season, and won each time.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 25 games this season, and is 21-4 in those contests.
- Atlanta is undefeated in the 21 games this season when it has scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 10-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They are 7-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Toronto has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season and won each of them.
- In 26 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 18-8.
- Toronto has won 13 of its 19 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In eight games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-3
Braves vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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