Rangers vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2023

Two of MLB’s most consistent hitters face off when the Texas Rangers (22-14) and Oakland Athletics (8-30) play at 9:40 PM ET on Thursday, at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. Jonah Heim has a .318 batting average (ninth in league) for the Rangers, while Brent Rooker ranks 10th at .317.

The Rangers are heavily favored (-263 on the moneyline) when they visit the Athletics (+220). The total for this game is 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of May 11, 2023 at 9:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -263 +220 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 19 games this season and won 11 (57.9%) of those contests.
  • Texas has played as favorites of -263 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 72.5% chance to win.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 36 games with a total this season.
  • In 36 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 22-14-0 ATS.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.6
HR 14
ERA 3.94
K/9 7.4

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have come away with eight wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Oakland has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +220 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Oakland and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 38 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Athletics have an against the spread mark of 15-23-0 in 38 games with a line this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 12
ERA 6.21
K/9 7.8

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi

  • Eovaldi and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed five hits in eight scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Eovaldi has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Eovaldi’s team is 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Eovaldi’s team has won four of his seven starts.
  • In games Eovaldi has started this season, the teams are 5-2-0 at hitting the over.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jonathan Hernández 16 14 16 3.21 8 0
Will Smith 14 14 17 3.21 4 6
Brock Burke 13 16.1 11 2.20 6 0
José Leclerc 12 11 10 3.27 0 1
Ian Kennedy 11 10 13 7.20 0 0

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Luis Medina

  • The Athletics will look to Medina (0-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Thursday, April 27 against the Los Angeles Angels, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • The Athletics were the moneyline underdog for one Medina start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Medina’s only start with a total this season went over.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Zach Jackson 17 16 20 2.25 1 1
Sam Moll 17 13 11 2.77 4 0
Richard Lovelady 10 9.1 8 1.93 2 0
Domingo Acevedo 9 9.1 7 10.61 2 0
Sam Long 6 7 5 5.14 0 0

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers are 8-4 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • Texas has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 9-2 in those outings.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits 23 times this season, and has a 19-4 record in those games.
  • Texas is 17-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 11-2 in those contests.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They are 5-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Oakland has gone 3-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 6-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Oakland has won six of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In nine games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-6

Rangers vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-263)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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