The San Diego Padres (19-18) visit the Minnesota Twins (20-17) at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Padres are a favorite (-135) at the Twins (+115). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of May 11, 2023 at 1:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -135 | +115 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 12 out of the 22 games, or 54.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season San Diego has won 11 of its 19 games, or 57.9%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 57.4% chance to win.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 13 of its 37 chances.
- The Padres are 19-18-0 ATS in their 37 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 2.81 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win two times (18.2%) in those games.
- Minnesota has a mark of 2-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of its 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins have posted a record of 19-18-0 against the spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.74 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday.
- Darvish has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Darvish’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- In games Darvish has started, his team is 3-3.
- In games Darvish has started this season, the teams are 2-4-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 19 | 17.2 | 11 | 2.55 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 18 | 18.2 | 23 | 3.86 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 17 | 17 | 23 | 1.06 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 16 | 15 | 13 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 15 | 20.1 | 19 | 3.10 | 3 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- The Twins will send Ober (2-0) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 2-0 with a .98 ERA and 16 strikeouts over 18 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, the righty threw seven scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
- Ober will look to last five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
- The Twins have always been the moneyline underdog when Ober starts this season.
- Ober’s team has won two of his three starts.
- Ober has started three games with a total this season. His team has gone under in each of them.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 17 | 15.2 | 16 | 3.45 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 17 | 16 | 11 | 1.69 | 6 | 2 |
| Jhoan Duran | 15 | 14.2 | 17 | 1.84 | 0 | 7 |
| Emilio Pagán | 12 | 14.2 | 14 | 4.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 12 | 14.2 | 17 | 5.52 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have racked up at least two dingers in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those outings.
- San Diego has gone 6-1 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 17 times this season, and has a 14-3 record in those games.
- San Diego is 15-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres have gone 11-6 in the 17 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They are 12-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Minnesota is undefeated in five games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 15 of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Minnesota has won 11 of its 13 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won five of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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