The New York Yankees (21-17) host the Tampa Bay Rays (29-9) in AL East action, at 7:05 PM ET on Thursday.
The Rays (+100 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Yankees (-118). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 11, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -118 | +100 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 19 out of the 29 games, or 65.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 17-9 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of its 38 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees are 20-18-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have split the two matchups they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +100 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 19 of 38 chances this season.
- The Rays have an against the spread record of 24-14-0 in 38 games with a line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Domingo German
- Germán’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday.
- German will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- German’s team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-3.
- Germán’s team has won three of his seven starts this season.
- In Germán’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 16 | 13.1 | 14 | 2.03 | 3 | 0 |
| Clay Holmes | 15 | 13 | 17 | 3.46 | 1 | 4 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 14 | 14.1 | 15 | 3.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 14 | 16.1 | 22 | 1.65 | 3 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 13 | 16.2 | 18 | 4.86 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Drew Rasmussen
- Rasmussen (3-2 with a 3.11 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rays, his eighth of the season.
- In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander went 5 2/3 scoreless innings against the New York Yankees while surrendering two hits.
- Rasmussen will aim to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
- The Rays have not been a moneyline underdog when Rasmussen starts this season.
- Over Rasmussen’s seven starts, his team is 3-4.
- Rasmussen’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in seven games with a set total this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 16 | 15.1 | 20 | 1.17 | 4 | 4 |
| Colin Poche | 16 | 14 | 8 | 1.29 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 14 | 20 | 17 | 4.05 | 3 | 1 |
| Jalen Beeks | 11 | 18 | 13 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 11 | 11 | 7 | 2.45 | 3 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 11-4 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- New York has had five or more extra-base hits in four games this season, and has gone 3-1 in those contests.
- The team has notched at least eight hits in 21 games this season, and is 14-7 in those contests.
- New York is 11-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 10 games this season, and are 7-3 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 19 of the 22 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has won 16 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 28 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 22-6.
- Tampa Bay has a 21-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won nine of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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