Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-17) will aim to stop a 29-game losing streak when hosting the San Francisco Giants (16-20) at 9:40 PM ET on Thursday.

The Giants are a favorite (-143) at the Diamondbacks (+123). The total for this game is set at 9.5.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of May 11, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -143 +123 9.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been favorites in 15 games this season and won six (40%) of those contests.
  • This season San Francisco has won three of its 10 games, or 30%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of 36 opportunities.
  • The Giants have an ATS record of 16-20-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 15
ERA 3.89
K/9 7.9

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 6-7 when favored by +123 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 37 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks are 20-17-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 17
ERA 5.83
K/9 8.0

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb and his team are 4-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Cobb has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Cobb’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
  • In games Cobb has started, his team is 4-3.
  • In games Cobb has started this season, the teams are 2-5-0 at hitting the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 16 15.2 21 2.30 0 8
Tyler Rogers 15 18.1 16 2.45 6 1
John Brebbia 15 13.2 21 5.93 5 0
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0
Taylor Rogers 14 10.2 8 5.91 1 1

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Tommy Henry

  • Henry (1-0) takes the mound first for the Diamondbacks in his fourth start of the season. He has a 5.17 ERA in 15 2/3 innings pitched, with seven strikeouts.
  • The lefty last pitched on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Henry is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
  • The Diamondbacks were the moneyline underdog for one Henry start this season — they won.
  • All three of Henry’s starts this season have been win for his team.
  • Henry’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of three contests.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Scott McGough 17 16.2 16 5.40 6 1
Andrew Chafin 16 13.2 23 4.61 1 5
Miguel Castro 16 16 12 3.38 6 1
Kevin Ginkel 16 16.1 11 3.86 1 0
Kyle Nelson 15 14.2 18 1.23 2 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit two or more home runs in 17 games this season, and are 10-7 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 8-8 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco has a 10-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Giants are 6-5 in the 11 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has gone 6-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 17-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Arizona has a 17-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 3-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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