Matt Olson brings a two-game homer streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (25-11) game against the Boston Red Sox (21-16) at 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, at Truist Park.
The favored Braves (-176 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Red Sox (+148). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 10, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -176 | +148 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 31 times and won 21, or 67.7%, of those games.
- Atlanta is 10-2 this season when entering a game favored by -176 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of 36 opportunities.
- The Braves are 18-18-0 against the spread in their 36 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 11, or 50%, of the 22 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Boston has a mark of 1-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +148 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 40.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of its 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 23-14-0 in 37 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Dylan Lee
- Lee did not pitch in a game with a spread last season.
- The 28-year-old lefty will start for the first time this campaign after coming out of the bullpen 17 times.
- Lee did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 18 | 17.2 | 22 | 7.13 | 0 | 7 |
| Jesse Chávez | 17 | 14 | 15 | 2.57 | 8 | 1 |
| Dylan Lee | 17 | 16 | 19 | 2.81 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 14 | 14.2 | 18 | 3.68 | 5 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 13 | 12.2 | 17 | 2.84 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello (1-1) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his fifth start of the season. He has a 5.71 ERA in 17 1/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Bello is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.3 innings per start.
- The Red Sox have a 2-1 record in Bello’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bello’s team has won three of his four starts.
- Bello has started four games with a set total this season — his team has hit the over in each of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | 18 | 17.2 | 15 | 7.13 | 1 | 1 |
| John Schreiber | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 15 | 15 | 10 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 13 | 23 | 18 | 1.57 | 4 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 0.84 | 0 | 8 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have racked up two or more homers in 14 games this season, and are 13-1 in those outings.
- Atlanta is undefeated in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 24 games this season, and is 21-3 in those contests.
- Atlanta has won all of the 21 games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves are 10-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 13 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 17 of the 23 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has a 19-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 8-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-176)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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