Astros vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2023

The Houston Astros (18-18) and Los Angeles Angels (20-17) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 4:07 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

As the favorite, the Astros (-124 on the moneyline) play at the Angels (+107). The contest has a set total of 9.5.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Angels Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -124 +107 9.5

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored 23 times and won nine, or 39.1%, of those games.
  • Houston is 8-13 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 36 opportunities.
  • In 36 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 17-19-0 ATS.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 7
ERA 3.83
K/9 9.5

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have been victorious in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has a mark of 5-5 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 37 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Angels have an against the spread mark of 16-21-0 in 37 games with a line this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 14
ERA 4.80
K/9 9.5

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier

  • Javier and his team have a record of 5-2-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
  • Javier has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Javier’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Javier’s team has a 5-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Javier have a 5-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 17 17.1 29 1.56 4 2
Rafael Montero 16 14.2 20 6.14 2 1
Phil Maton 15 18 19 1.00 1 0
Ryan Pressly 15 14.1 12 3.14 0 4
Héctor Neris 14 15 17 1.80 3 1

Angels Probable Pitcher – Griffin Canning

  • Canning (2-0 with a 5.31 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Angels, his fifth of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander threw five innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Canning will aim to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing.
  • The Angels were the underdog on the moneyline for two Canning starts this season — they split the games.
  • Canning’s team is 3-1 over his four starts.
  • Canning has had four starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those games finished over the total.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 17 17.2 23 1.02 2 8
Matt Moore 16 18 18 1.00 8 0
Andrew Wantz 10 15.1 14 0.59 1 0
Jaime Barria 9 20.1 20 2.21 1 0
Ryan Tepera 8 7 7 6.43 2 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have a 5-4 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Houston is 4-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 14-5 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Houston is 15-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros have drawn five or more walks in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those contests.

Angels Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has won five of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 22 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-8.
  • In 20 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 14-6.
  • They have won six of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Astros vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Angels (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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