Jorge Soler leads the Miami Marlins (18-19) into a contest versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-16), following his two-homer showing in a 6-2 victory over the Diamondbacks, beginning at 3:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Marlins (+124 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Diamondbacks (-145). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -145 | +124 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 13 times this season and won eight, or 61.5%, of those games.
- This season Arizona has won five of its seven games when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 36 chances.
- In 36 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-16-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Miami has won four of 11 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 37 opportunities.
- In 37 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 14-23-0 against the spread.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.89 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- Kelly’s team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Kelly will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Kelly’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Kelly’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games Kelly has started this season hit the over one time in seven chances.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 17 | 16.2 | 16 | 5.40 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 16 | 12.2 | 21 | 4.26 | 1 | 5 |
| Miguel Castro | 16 | 15 | 11 | 3.60 | 6 | 1 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 16 | 16.1 | 11 | 3.86 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Nelson | 15 | 13.2 | 17 | 1.32 | 2 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera gets the start for the Marlins, his seventh of the season. He is 2-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Friday, the righty threw five innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Cabrera is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.6 innings per start.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Cabrera’s starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
- Cabrera’s team has put together a 3-3 record in his six starts.
- Cabrera’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in six games with a set total this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huascar Brazoban | 16 | 22 | 27 | 2.05 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 16 | 16.1 | 18 | 4.41 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 15 | 15.2 | 13 | 1.72 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Barnes | 14 | 16 | 16 | 3.94 | 1 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 14 | 13.2 | 17 | 3.95 | 0 | 5 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 7-5 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Arizona has collected five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and has gone 6-3 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 25 games this season, and is 17-8 in those contests.
- Arizona has a 17-4 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have gone 3-2 over the five games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in eight games this season and are 5-3 in those matchups.
- Miami has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
- In 29 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 15-14.
- Miami has won nine of its 10 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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