The Seattle Mariners (18-18) and Texas Rangers (21-14) meet on Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Rangers are an underdog away (+161) versus the Mariners (-190). The total for this game is 7.5.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of May 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -190 | +161 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 13 out of the 25 games, or 52%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle has entered three games this season favored by -190 or more, and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 36 chances this season.
- In 36 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 18-18-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.45 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won in 10, or 62.5%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Texas has played as an underdog of +161 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 38.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 21 of its 35 opportunities.
- The Rangers are 21-14-0 against the spread in their 35 games that had a posted line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.84 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in seven innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Saturday.
- Castillo has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Castillo’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- Castillo’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- In games Castillo has started this season, the teams are 3-4-0 at hitting the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Gott | 19 | 18.2 | 21 | 1.93 | 6 | 0 |
| Matt Brash | 19 | 16 | 32 | 5.06 | 4 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 18 | 18 | 24 | 3.50 | 0 | 9 |
| Gabe Speier | 17 | 14 | 11 | 0.64 | 5 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 16 | 15 | 14 | 1.20 | 7 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning
- The Rangers are sending Dunning (2-0) to the mound to make his second start of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- The Rangers were named the moneyline underdog for one Dunning start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Dunning’s only start with a total this season went under.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Hernández | 15 | 13.2 | 15 | 3.29 | 7 | 0 |
| Will Smith | 13 | 13 | 15 | 3.46 | 4 | 5 |
| José Leclerc | 12 | 11 | 10 | 3.27 | 0 | 1 |
| Brock Burke | 12 | 15.2 | 10 | 1.72 | 5 | 0 |
| Ian Kennedy | 11 | 10 | 13 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 6-3 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 9-5 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Seattle has a 13-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Mariners have gone 7-2 over the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They are 8-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Texas has won nine of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 18 of the 22 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Texas has won 17 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 11-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+161)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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