Giants vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (16-19) and Washington Nationals (15-21) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 3:45 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The favored Giants (-159 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Nationals (+136). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of May 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -159 +136 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have won six, or 42.9%, of the 14 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Francisco is 3-2 this season when entering a game favored by -159 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 35 games with a total this season.
  • The Giants are 16-19-0 ATS in their 35 games with a spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 18
ERA 4.76
K/9 8.3

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (41.7%) in those games.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 11-13 when favored by +136 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 36 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 22-14-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 7
ERA 3.62
K/9 8.0

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Sean Manaea

  • When Manaea starts, his team is 1-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Manaea has made two starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 3.3 frames when he pitches.
  • Manaea’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Manaea’s team is 1-4 when he starts this season.
  • In the five games Manaea has started this season, the teams combined to hit the over on the point total each time.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 16 15.2 21 2.30 0 7
Tyler Rogers 15 18.1 16 2.45 5 1
John Brebbia 15 13.2 21 5.93 5 0
Taylor Rogers 14 10.2 8 5.91 1 1
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals will send Gray (2-5) to make his eighth start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 37 strikeouts through 38 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander tossed five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Gray will aim to last five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
  • The Nationals are 2-5 in Gray’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Gray’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Gray has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those games hit the over.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Mason Thompson 15 22 21 3.68 1 1
Carl Edwards Jr. 15 14.2 10 1.84 5 1
Hunter Harvey 15 15.2 18 2.30 7 1
Erasmo Ramírez 14 16.2 8 4.32 2 0
Kyle Finnegan 14 13.1 12 6.75 0 7

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have a 10-6 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • San Francisco has collected at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and has gone 4-1 in those contests.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 15 games this season, and is 8-7 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has a 10-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Giants have gone 6-4 in the 10 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in five games this season and are 3-2 in those matchups.
  • Washington has won each of its four games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • In 23 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 12-11.
  • Washington has won nine of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 4-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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