The Chicago Cubs (17-19) will look to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the St. Louis Cardinals (13-24) at 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Cardinals are projected as a tight favorite (-116 to win on the moneyline) against the Cubs (-101). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 10, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -116 | -101 | 7.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won nine, or 45%, of the 20 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- St. Louis has entered 19 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 8-11 in those contests.
- The Cardinals have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 37 games with a total this season.
- In 37 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 15-22-0 ATS.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have come away with six wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Chicago has won six of 11 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 36 opportunities.
- The Cubs are 20-16-0 against the spread in their 36 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.77 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- Montgomery and his team have a record of 3-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Montgomery will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- Montgomery’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
- In games Montgomery has started, his team is 2-5.
- Games started by Montgomery have a 3-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 17 | 18 | 21 | 3.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 15 | 15 | 24 | 6.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Chris Stratton | 14 | 21.1 | 21 | 2.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 14 | 14.1 | 21 | 2.51 | 2 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 13 | 13.2 | 12 | 2.63 | 2 | 2 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- The Cubs are sending Steele (5-0) out for his eighth start of the season. He is 5-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 36 strikeouts through 43 1/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander’s most recent time out came on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
- Steele is seeking his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 innings per start.
- The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for two Steele starts this season — they split the games.
- Steele’s team has won five of his seven starts.
- Steele’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of seven contests.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Boxberger | 15 | 13 | 11 | 4.15 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Rucker | 15 | 13.2 | 16 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 15 | 15.1 | 17 | 5.87 | 3 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 15 | 16 | 25 | 1.13 | 7 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 14 | 14 | 16 | 5.79 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals are 9-5 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- St. Louis has gone 7-2 in its nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 12-11 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- St. Louis is 10-4 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cardinals are 5-8 in the 13 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 8-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
- They have won 18 of the 27 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won 12 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 5-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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