The Philadelphia Phillies (17-19) have a 1-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Toronto Blue Jays (21-15) on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, at 4:05 PM ET.
Oddsmakers project the Phillies as a tight favorite (-110 to win on the moneyline) against the Blue Jays (-108). The matchup has an over/under set at 8 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of May 10, 2023 at 3:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -110 | -108 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 20 games this season and won 11 (55%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has a record of 11-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 17 of 36 chances this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 16-20-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.86 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have won in five of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Toronto has come away with a win four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 36 chances this season.
- The Blue Jays have posted a record of 19-17-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- When Wheeler starts, his team is 4-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Boston Red Sox on Friday.
- Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Wheeler’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-3).
- Wheeler’s team has won four of his seven starts.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 3-3-1 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 18 | 16 | 20 | 4.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 17 | 14.1 | 15 | 5.02 | 5 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 17 | 18.2 | 16 | 2.89 | 2 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 15 | 13 | 19 | 7.62 | 3 | 3 |
| José Alvarado | 14 | 14.1 | 24 | 1.88 | 4 | 5 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Kevin Gausman
- Gausman (2-3) takes the mound first for the Blue Jays in his eighth start of the season. He has a 3.86 ERA in 42 2/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last time out was on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering eight earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
- Gausman heads into the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Blue Jays have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Gausman starts this season.
- Gausman’s team is 4-3 in his seven starts.
- Gausman has started seven games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 18 | 17.2 | 23 | 1.53 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 16 | 14 | 18 | 3.21 | 1 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 16 | 16 | 19 | 5.63 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 16 | 12 | 12 | 1.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Anthony Bass | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 8-2 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia has gone 8-2 in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 26 times this season, and has a 14-12 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has an 11-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in six games this season, and are 4-2 in those contests.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 7-3 in those matchups.
- Toronto has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 18-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Toronto has a 13-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In eight games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-3
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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