Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 10, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (22-15) and Milwaukee Brewers (20-16) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Brewers are an underdog (+142 on the moneyline) when they takes the field at home against the Dodgers (-166). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of May 10, 2023 at 1:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -166 +142 8

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 20 out of the 33 games, or 60.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season Los Angeles has won five of its nine games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -166 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.4% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of 37 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 19-18-0 against the spread in their 37 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 14
ERA 2.93
K/9 8.9

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (57.1%) in those contests.
  • This season, Milwaukee has been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 36 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 36 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 17-19-0 against the spread.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 9
ERA 4.34
K/9 8.7

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw

  • Kershaw and his team have a record of 4-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • Kershaw has made six starts of five or more innings in seven chances this season, and averages 6.0 frames when he pitches.
  • Kershaw’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
  • In games Kershaw has started, his team is 5-2.
  • Games Kershaw has started this season hit the over three times in seven chances.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 16 15.1 11 6.46 2 0
Brusdar Graterol 16 15 13 3.00 3 2
Phil Bickford 15 16.2 21 5.40 1 0
Shelby Miller 14 16.1 16 2.20 0 1
Evan Phillips 14 12.1 16 2.19 2 6

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • The Brewers are sending Miley (3-1) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 21 strikeouts through 35 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Miley will look to build upon a seven-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
  • The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in three of Miley’s starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those games.
  • Over Miley’s six starts, his team is 4-2.
  • Miley has had six starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in three of those matchups.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 17 13 9 4.85 4 0
Peter Strzelecki 17 16 13 3.94 9 0
Joel Payamps 15 16 15 2.81 2 1
Devin Williams 11 10.1 15 0.87 0 5
Bryse Wilson 11 20 21 2.70 1 2

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have hit two or more homers in 19 games this season, and are 15-4 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 11-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 16-3 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles has a 20-3 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 16-6 in those contests.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 11 of the 15 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Milwaukee has won each of its three games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • In 20 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 15-5.
  • Milwaukee has a 15-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 10-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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