The Pittsburgh Pirates (21-16) and Colorado Rockies (15-22) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Pirates are favored (-148 moneyline odds) when they host the Rockies (+126). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of May 10, 2023 at 9:19 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -148 | +126 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won eight of the 10 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Pittsburgh has a record of 4-2 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 37 opportunities.
- In 37 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 21-16-0 ATS.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those games.
- This season, Colorado has come away with a win 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 16 of its 37 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rockies are 17-20-0 against the spread in their 37 games that had a posted line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill and his team have a record of 3-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Hill has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Hill’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Hill’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Games Hill has started this season hit the over two times in seven chances.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 15 | 16.2 | 10 | 4.32 | 3 | 2 |
| Colin Holderman | 14 | 14 | 15 | 3.21 | 9 | 0 |
| Dauri Moreta | 14 | 16 | 22 | 2.81 | 2 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 14 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 9 |
| Jose Hernandez | 13 | 15.2 | 17 | 2.30 | 2 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Antonio Senzatela
- Senzatela (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Rockies, his second of the season.
- His last time out was on Friday against the New York Mets, when the righty went five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- The Rockies were named the moneyline underdog for one Senzatela start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Senzatela’s only start with a total this season went under.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 17 | 25 | 28 | 2.88 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Lawrence | 15 | 18.1 | 19 | 1.47 | 4 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 15 | 23 | 22 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 14 | 13.1 | 20 | 4.73 | 0 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 14 | 12.2 | 18 | 3.55 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have hit two or more homers in 13 games this season, and won each time.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in its 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 19 times this season, and has a 14-5 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 13-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Pirates have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 9-4 in those contests.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They have won six of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Colorado has won five of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 14-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 12-3.
- They have won five of their seven games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Pirates vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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