Francisco Alvarez leads the New York Mets (17-19) into a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds (15-20) after his two-homer outing in a 7-6 defeat to the Reds. It starts at 6:40 PM ET on Wednesday.
As the favorite, the Mets (-159 on the moneyline) take the field at the Reds (+136). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of May 10, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -159 | +136 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 7-9, a 43.8% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 37 games with a total.
- The Mets are 15-22-0 against the spread in their 37 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 6.26 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been victorious in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 3-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +136 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of its 35 opportunities.
- The Reds have posted a record of 21-14-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Detroit Tigers, throwing five innings and giving up two earned runs.
- Verlander’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Verlander’s team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Verlander with a total this season hit the under.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Smith | 15 | 14 | 19 | 1.93 | 7 | 0 |
| Adam Ottavino | 14 | 13 | 14 | 3.46 | 2 | 4 |
| Jeurys Familia | 14 | 12.2 | 9 | 6.39 | 1 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 13 | 14.1 | 18 | 0.63 | 3 | 6 |
| Jeff Brigham | 10 | 11 | 14 | 3.27 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene (0-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Reds, his eighth of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Friday against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Greene is trying for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.7 innings per start.
- The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in three of Greene’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
- Greene’s team has put together a 2-5 record in his seven starts.
- Greene has started seven contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Law | 17 | 18 | 18 | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 15 | 16 | 20 | 3.38 | 4 | 0 |
| Ian Gibaut | 15 | 14 | 15 | 2.57 | 4 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 15 | 17.1 | 14 | 3.12 | 2 | 0 |
| Alexis Diaz | 14 | 12.1 | 24 | 2.19 | 1 | 7 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 6-4 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- New York is 4-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits 18 times this season, and has an 11-7 record in those games.
- New York is 14-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 6-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the five games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cincinnati has gone 2-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 10 of the 22 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has a 12-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 5-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+136)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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