The Tampa Bay Rays (29-8) and Baltimore Orioles (23-13) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Rays are a favorite (-119) at the Orioles (+101). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 10, 2023 at 5:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -119 | +101 | 9.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 28 out of the 35 games, or 80%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Tampa Bay has a record of 28-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
- The Rays have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 19 of its 37 chances.
- The Rays are 24-13-0 ATS in their 37 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (47.1%) in those games.
- This year, Baltimore has won seven of 15 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of its 36 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 36 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 22-14-0 against the spread.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Jalen Beeks
- Beeks has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Sunday, when he threw a scoreless third of an inning without allowing a hit to the New York Yankees.
- Beeks’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Beeks’ team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Beeks this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 16 | 14 | 8 | 1.29 | 5 | 0 |
| Jason Adam | 16 | 15.1 | 20 | 1.17 | 4 | 4 |
| Kevin Kelly | 14 | 20 | 17 | 4.05 | 3 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 13 | 11.1 | 11 | 7.94 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen Beeks | 11 | 16 | 11 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer (3-1) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his eighth start of the season. He has a 5.80 ERA in 35 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
- Kremer is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
- The Orioles are 3-2 in Kremer’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Kremer’s team is 4-3 in his seven starts.
- Kremer has started seven games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Baker | 18 | 17.2 | 22 | 2.04 | 8 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 17 | 17 | 30 | 1.59 | 0 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 17 | 13.2 | 12 | 4.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Michael Baumann | 16 | 19 | 19 | 3.79 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 15 | 12 | 16 | 3.00 | 7 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 19-3 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Tampa Bay has gone 16-1 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 28 times this season, and has a 22-6 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 21-1 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays are 9-1 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 10-5 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has gone 7-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 14 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has a 17-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-2
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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