The Minnesota Twins hope to stop their three-game losing run against the San Diego Padres (19-17), on Wednesday at 7:40 PM ET.
The Padres are an away underdog (+111) at the Twins (-130). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 10, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -130 | +111 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 17 (70.8%) of those contests.
- This season Minnesota has won 12 of its 17 games, or 70.6%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of 36 opportunities.
- In 36 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 19-17-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.20 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (53.8%) in those games.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 13 of its 36 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres are 18-18-0 against the spread in their 36 games that had a posted line this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.16 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez and his team are 3-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- Lopez’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- Lopez’s team is 4-3 when he starts this season.
- In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 3-3-1 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 16 | 15 | 11 | 1.20 | 6 | 2 |
| Griffin Jax | 16 | 14.2 | 15 | 3.68 | 6 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 14 | 12.2 | 16 | 2.13 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 12 | 14.2 | 17 | 5.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 12 | 14.2 | 14 | 4.30 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo
- The Padres are sending Lugo (3-2) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 33 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday, May 3, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
- Lugo will try to prolong a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 innings per appearance).
- The Padres were the moneyline underdog for one Lugo start this season — they won.
- Lugo’s team is 4-2 in his six starts.
- Lugo’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 18 | 16.2 | 11 | 2.70 | 6 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 18 | 18.2 | 23 | 3.86 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 16 | 16 | 20 | 1.13 | 0 | 11 |
| Luís Garcia | 15 | 14 | 13 | 6.43 | 7 | 0 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 14 | 19.1 | 19 | 3.26 | 3 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 12-2 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
- Minnesota has racked up at least five extra-base hits in five games this season, and won each time.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 19 times this season, and has a 14-5 record in those games.
- Minnesota has an 11-2 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins are 5-5 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 10 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 6-1.
- They have a record of 14-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Diego has a 15-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5
Twins vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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