Astros vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

The Houston Astros (17-18) carry a three-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Los Angeles Angels (20-16), at 9:38 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Astros are favored (-112) in an expected evenly matched game against the Angels (-107). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 9:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Angels Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -112 -107 9.5

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won nine, or 39.1%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Houston is 9-13 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 35 opportunities.
  • The Astros have an ATS record of 16-19-0 in 35 games with a spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 7
ERA 4.03
K/9 8.8

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (50%) in those games.
  • Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 6-6 when favored by -107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 36 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Angels are 16-20-0 against the spread in their 36 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 13
ERA 4.75
K/9 9.6

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez

  • Valdez’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Valdez has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Valdez’s team is 1-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Valdez has started, his team is 2-5.
  • Games started by Valdez have a 4-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 17 17.1 29 1.56 4 2
Rafael Montero 16 14.2 20 6.14 2 1
Phil Maton 15 18 19 1.00 1 0
Héctor Neris 14 15 17 1.80 3 1
Ryan Pressly 14 13.1 10 3.38 0 4

Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani

  • Ohtani gets the start for the Angels, his seventh of the season. He is 4-0 with a 2.54 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Ohtani is looking to collect his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The Angels have always been the moneyline underdog when Ohtani starts this season.
  • Ohtani’s team has won five of his six starts.
  • Ohtani’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 17 17.2 23 1.02 2 7
Matt Moore 16 18 18 1.00 8 0
Andrew Wantz 9 13.1 13 0.68 1 0
Jaime Barria 9 20.1 20 2.21 1 0
Ryan Tepera 8 7 7 6.43 2 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have hit two or more dingers in nine games this season, and are 5-4 in those outings.
  • Houston has collected at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those outings.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 19 games this season, and is 14-5 in those contests.
  • Houston has a 15-3 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros are 4-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Angels Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has won five of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 14-8 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Los Angeles has a 14-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 6-5

Astros vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Angels (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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