Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (22-13) carry a three-game losing streak into a matchup versus the Tampa Bay Rays (29-7), at 6:35 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Rays are the road favorite (-142) versus the Orioles (+122). The contest has a set total of 8.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 3:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -142 +122 8

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 28 out of the 34 games, or 82.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 24-4, a 85.7% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 36 opportunities.
  • The Rays are 24-12-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 22
ERA 3.20
K/9 8.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those games.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 2-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Orioles have posted a record of 21-14-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 4.96
K/9 8.9

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • Eflin and his team are 3-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Eflin has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Eflin’s team has won each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Eflin and his team have won each of the five games he’s started this season.
  • Games started by Eflin have a 2-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 16 15.1 20 1.17 4 4
Colin Poche 16 14 8 1.29 5 0
Kevin Kelly 14 20 17 4.05 3 1
Ryan Thompson 11 11 7 2.45 3 0
Jalen Beeks 11 16 11 6.75 2 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his seventh start of the season. He has a 5.46 ERA in 28 2/3 innings pitched, with 37 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Kansas City Royals, when the righty tossed 3 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Rodriguez has pitched five or more innings in a game four times this year entering this outing.
  • The Orioles were the underdog on the moneyline for two Rodriguez starts this season — they split the games.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a 5-1 record over his six starts.
  • Rodriguez’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of six games.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Baker 18 17.2 22 2.04 8 0
Cionel Pérez 17 13.2 12 4.61 6 0
Felix Bautista 16 15.2 29 1.72 0 7
Michael Baumann 15 18.2 19 3.86 0 0
Danny Coulombe 15 12 16 3.00 7 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 19-2 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 16-1 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits 27 times this season, and has a 22-5 record in those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 21-1 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have won each of the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 10-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 7-1.
  • They have won 14 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Baltimore has a 17-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won eight of their 10 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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