The Miami Marlins (17-19) will look to Luis Arraez, on an 11-game hitting streak, against the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-15) at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks (-112 moneyline odds to win) take the field against the Marlins (-107) in an expected close matchup. The total for this game is 9.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 9:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -112 | -107 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 12 times this season and won eight, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Arizona has entered 12 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 8-4 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- Games involving Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 35 chances this season.
- The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 20-15-0 in 35 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those contests.
- This season, Miami has been victorious nine times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 36 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 13-23-0 against the spread in their 36 games that had a posted line this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 4.89 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- Pfaadt helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs while allowing nine hits against the Texas Rangers.
- This will be Pfaadt’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
- Pfaadt’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Pfaadt with a total this season hit the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 16 | 15.1 | 16 | 5.87 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 16 | 12.2 | 21 | 4.26 | 1 | 5 |
| Miguel Castro | 16 | 15 | 11 | 3.6 | 6 | 1 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 15 | 13.2 | 10 | 4.61 | 1 | 0 |
| Kyle Nelson | 15 | 13.2 | 17 | 1.32 | 2 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- Luzardo (2-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 39 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his eighth of the season.
- The lefty last appeared on Thursday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Luzardo will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing.
- The Marlins have a 4-1 record in Luzardo’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Luzardo’s team has a 5-2 record in his starts this season.
- Luzardo has had seven starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 17 | 16.1 | 18 | 4.41 | 0 | 1 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 15 | 21 | 25 | 2.14 | 5 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 14 | 13.2 | 17 | 3.95 | 0 | 5 |
| Dylan Floro | 14 | 14.2 | 13 | 1.84 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Barnes | 13 | 15 | 16 | 3.6 | 1 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit two or more long balls in 12 games this season, and are 7-5 in those contests.
- Arizona is 6-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 15-7 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Arizona has a 15-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn five or more walks in five games this season, and are 3-2 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 4-3 in those matchups.
- Miami is 25th in MLB, slugging .371.
- In 26 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-12.
- Miami has won eight of its nine games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In four games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 2-2
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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