Giants vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

The Washington Nationals (15-20) visit the San Francisco Giants (15-19) at 9:45 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Nationals (+188 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Giants (-227). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 9:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -227 +188 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have won five out of the 13 games, or 38.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Francisco has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -227 odds on them winning this game.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.4% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 34 games with a total this season.
  • The Giants are 15-19-0 against the spread in their 34 chances this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 17
ERA 5.28
K/9 8.3

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been victorious in 15, or 42.9%, of the 35 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a mark of 5-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +188 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 34.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of its 35 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread record of 22-13-0 in 35 games with a line this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 8
ERA 4.91
K/9 8.2

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb

  • Webb’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Houston Astros.
  • Webb has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Webb’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Webb’s team is 2-5 when he starts this season.
  • In Webb’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 15 14.2 19 2.45 0 7
John Brebbia 15 13.2 21 5.93 5 0
Tyler Rogers 14 17.1 16 2.60 5 1
Taylor Rogers 14 10.2 8 5.91 1 1
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin (1-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 38 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his eighth of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, the lefty tossed seven innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Corbin will aim to last five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing.
  • The Nationals are 3-4 in Corbin’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Corbin’s team is 3-4 in his seven starts.
  • Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in seven games with a set total this season.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hunter Harvey 15 15.2 18 2.30 7 1
Carl Edwards Jr. 15 14.2 10 1.84 5 1
Mason Thompson 14 21 20 3.43 1 1
Erasmo Ramírez 14 16.2 8 4.32 2 0
Kyle Finnegan 14 13.1 12 6.75 0 7

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have hit two or more dingers in 16 games this season, and are 10-6 in those contests.
  • San Francisco is 4-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits 14 times this season, and has a 7-7 record in those games.
  • San Francisco has a 10-5 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn five or more walks in 10 games this season, and are 6-4 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 3-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Washington is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 12 of the 22 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 14 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 9-5.
  • They have a 4-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-227)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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