Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

Willy Adames carries a two-game homer streak into the Milwaukee Brewers’ (20-15) game against the Los Angeles Dodgers (21-15) at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at American Family Field.

The Dodgers are favored (-125 moneyline odds) when they visit the Brewers (+107). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -125 +107 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 32 times this season and won 19, or 59.4%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 16-12 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of 36 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 18-18-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 13
ERA 3.03
K/9 8.8

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (61.5%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a mark of 7-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Brewers have posted a record of 17-18-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 8
ERA 3.92
K/9 8.3

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Noah Syndergaard

  • Syndergaard and his team have a record of 1-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, April 30, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Syndergaard has four starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • Syndergaard’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
  • Syndergaard’s team is 2-4 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Syndergaard’s six starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Caleb Ferguson 15 14.1 14 1.26 6 0
Yency Almonte 15 14.1 11 6.91 2 0
Brusdar Graterol 15 14 11 3.21 3 2
Phil Bickford 14 15.1 20 5.87 1 0
Shelby Miller 13 14.2 14 1.23 0 1

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer

  • The Brewers will send Lauer (3-3) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 29 strikeouts over 30 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s most recent time out came on Thursday against the Colorado Rockies, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering no earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Lauer enters the game with three outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Brewers have been the moneyline underdog in four of Lauer’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
  • Lauer’s team has put together a 3-3 record in his six starts.
  • Lauer’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Peter Strzelecki 17 16 13 3.94 9 0
Hoby Milner 17 13 9 4.85 4 0
Joel Payamps 15 16 15 2.81 2 1
Devin Williams 11 10.1 15 0.87 0 5
Bryse Wilson 10 17.2 19 2.04 1 2

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 14-4 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles is 11-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 15-3 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles is 19-3 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers are 15-6 in the 21 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They are 11-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
  • They have won 15 of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Milwaukee has won 15 of its 17 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 10-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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