White Sox vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 9, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 9, 2023

The Chicago White Sox (12-24) will look to Gavin Sheets, on a two-game homer streak, against the Kansas City Royals (10-26) at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday, at Kauffman Stadium.

The Royals are an underdog (+129 moneyline odds) when they host the White Sox (-150). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 9, 2023 at 7:22 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

White Sox vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
White Sox -150 +129 8.5

White Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the White Sox have won five out of the 10 games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Chicago has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -150 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the White Sox, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of 36 games with a total.
  • The White Sox have an ATS record of 15-21-0 in 36 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 5.77
K/9 10.4

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (30.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious five times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 36 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread mark of 13-23-0 in 36 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 14
ERA 6.24
K/9 8.6

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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • Giolito’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in seven innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins on Thursday.
  • Giolito has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Giolito’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • In games Giolito has started, his team is 1-6.
  • In games Giolito has started this season, the teams are 3-4-0 at hitting the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jimmy Lambert 18 16.1 22 6.06 3 0
Gregory Santos 17 18.2 19 1.93 1 0
Reynaldo López 16 14.1 21 8.16 1 4
Aaron Bummer 16 11.2 13 10.80 5 0
Kendall Graveman 15 14.1 16 4.40 6 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles (0-5) gets the starting nod for the Royals in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 6.25 ERA in 40 1/3 innings pitched, with 30 strikeouts.
  • The righty last pitched on Thursday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he threw five innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Lyles has six starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Royals were the moneyline underdog for seven Lyles starts this season — they lost each time.
  • Lyles’ seven starts have all ended in defeat for his team this season.
  • Lyles’ starts went over the run total four times in seven games with a set total this season.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Amir Garrett 16 14.2 14 3.68 0 0
Jose Cuas 15 14.2 17 5.52 0 0
Carlos Hernandez 15 17.1 22 4.67 2 0
Aroldis Chapman 14 12.2 20 2.84 4 1
Taylor Clarke 13 17 23 4.76 2 0

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • The White Sox have a 4-6 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Chicago is 3-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits 18 times this season, and has a 9-9 record in those games.
  • Chicago is 8-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The White Sox have gone 2-3 in the five games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They have won two of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 5-4.
  • They have won nine of the 20 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Kansas City has a 8-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 1-6

White Sox vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (+129)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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