The Detroit Tigers (16-18) visit the Cleveland Guardians (16-19) at 6:10 PM ET on Tuesday.
The Tigers are road underdogs (+179) against the Guardians (-211). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 3:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -211 | +179 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 22 times and won 10, or 45.5%, of those games.
- Cleveland has played as favorites of -211 or more twice this season and lost both games.
- The Guardians have a 67.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of 35 opportunities.
- In 35 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 12-23-0 ATS.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won in 16, or 47.1%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 35.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 19 of 35 chances this season.
- The Tigers are 21-14-0 against the spread in their 35 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 6.7 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- Bieber’s team is 1-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in eight innings against the New York Yankees.
- Bieber will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
- When Bieber starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-4.
- Bieber’s team is 2-5 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Bieber have a 2-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 19 | 18.1 | 11 | 1.96 | 0 | 12 |
| James Karinchak | 18 | 16.2 | 21 | 5.40 | 8 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 15 | 14 | 16 | 1.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 13 | 12.1 | 9 | 1.46 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 12 | 15 | 17 | 1.20 | 2 | 1 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- The Tigers will send Lorenzen (1-1) to the mound for his fifth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander threw seven innings against the New York Mets, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Lorenzen will try to build upon a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing).
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Lorenzen’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
- In Lorenzen’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Lorenzen has had four starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those games.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lange | 17 | 16 | 21 | 1.13 | 1 | 6 |
| Jason Foley | 16 | 16.1 | 11 | 1.65 | 9 | 2 |
| Chasen Shreve | 13 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.08 | 2 | 0 |
| José Cisnero | 13 | 12 | 10 | 3.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Mason Englert | 11 | 19 | 18 | 5.21 | 2 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 3-1 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
- Cleveland has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season, and has gone 2-1 in those outings.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 16 games this season, and is 10-6 in those contests.
- Cleveland is 8-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians are 8-3 over the 11 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in seven games this season and are 4-3 in those matchups.
- Detroit has gone 4-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 12 of the 16 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 12 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 10-2.
- They have a 4-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-211)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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