The Philadelphia Phillies (16-19) host the Toronto Blue Jays (21-14) to start a two-game series at Citizens Bank Park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. The Phillies are on the back of a series defeat to the Red Sox, and the Blue Jays a series win over the Pirates.
The Blue Jays are an away underdog (+118) versus the Phillies (-139). The total for this game is 9.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -139 | +118 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 19 times this season and won 10, or 52.6%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 7-6, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Phillies have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 35 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 15-20-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.65 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have won in five of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Toronto has been listed as an underdog of +118 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of its 35 opportunities.
- In 35 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 19-16-0 against the spread.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 2-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Nola has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- When Nola starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
- Nola’s team has won three of his seven starts this season.
- Out of Nola’s seven starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 17 | 15.1 | 19 | 4.70 | 6 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 16 | 14 | 14 | 5.14 | 4 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 16 | 17.2 | 16 | 3.06 | 1 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 14 | 14.1 | 24 | 1.88 | 4 | 5 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 14 | 12 | 17 | 8.25 | 3 | 3 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah
- Manoah (1-2) takes the mound first for the Blue Jays in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.71 ERA in 36 1/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Manoah will try to extend a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
- The Blue Jays were the underdog on the moneyline for two Manoah starts this season — they lost both.
- Manoah’s team is 4-3 over his seven starts.
- Manoah has started seven games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 17 | 16.2 | 21 | 1.62 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 16 | 14 | 18 | 3.21 | 1 | 9 |
| Yimi Garcia | 16 | 16 | 19 | 5.63 | 6 | 0 |
| Tim Mayza | 15 | 11.1 | 12 | 0.79 | 3 | 1 |
| Anthony Bass | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have an 8-2 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Philadelphia has had five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 8-2 in those contests.
- The team is 13-12 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 10-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in five games this season, and are 3-2 in those contests.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 10 games this season and are 7-3 in those matchups.
- Toronto is undefeated in six games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 18 of the 26 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Toronto has a 13-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won five of their eight games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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