The Boston Red Sox (21-15) will look to Masataka Yoshida, currently on a 16-game hitting streak, against the Atlanta Braves (24-11) at 7:20 PM ET on Tuesday, at Truist Park.
The Braves are favored (-185 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at home against the Red Sox (+156). The total for this game is 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 7:24 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -185 | +156 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 20 out of the 30 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta is 9-1 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 35 chances this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 17-18-0 in 35 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Boston has been listed as an underdog of +156 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 24 of 36 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 23-13-0 against the spread in their 36 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton
- Morton and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Monday, May 1.
- Morton will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- Morton’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Morton’s team has won three of his six starts this season.
- Out of Morton’s six starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Chávez | 17 | 14 | 15 | 2.57 | 8 | 1 |
| A.J. Minter | 17 | 16.2 | 21 | 7.02 | 0 | 7 |
| Dylan Lee | 17 | 16 | 19 | 2.81 | 6 | 0 |
| Nick Anderson | 14 | 14.2 | 18 | 3.68 | 5 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 12 | 11.2 | 15 | 3.09 | 1 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta makes the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Pivetta is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 innings per start.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in five of Pivetta’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those matchups.
- In Pivetta’s six starts, his team is 3-3.
- Pivetta has started six contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryan Brasier | 17 | 16.2 | 14 | 7.56 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Bleier | 15 | 15 | 10 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 13 | 23 | 18 | 1.57 | 4 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 0.84 | 0 | 8 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two homers in 14 games this season, and are 13-1 in those contests.
- Atlanta has won each of its nine games this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 20-3 in those contests.
- Atlanta is 20-0 in games this season when it scores five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 9-3 over the 12 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 10-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has won eight of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 17 of the 22 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has won 19 of its 22 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-2
Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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