Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 8, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (19-15) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (21-14) to open a three-game series at American Family Field, with first pitch at 7:40 PM ET on Monday. The Brewers are on the back of a series defeat to the Giants, and the Dodgers a series win over the Padres.

The Dodgers are an underdog (+101 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Brewers (-118). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of May 8, 2023 at 7:27 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Brewers vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Brewers -118 +101 8.5

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 21 times and won 11, or 52.4%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has a record of 10-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 54.1% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of 34 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 16-18-0 against the spread in their 34 chances this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 3.81
K/9 8.7

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been victorious in two of the three contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has been listed as an underdog of +101 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of its 35 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 18-17-0 against the spread in their 35 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 12
ERA 3.03
K/9 9

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta

  • When Peralta starts, his team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • Peralta has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Peralta’s team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Peralta has started, his team is 3-3.
  • Games started by Peralta have a 2-3-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Peter Strzelecki 17 16 13 3.94 9 0
Hoby Milner 17 13 9 4.85 4 0
Joel Payamps 15 16 15 2.81 2 1
Devin Williams 11 10.1 15 0.87 0 5
Bryse Wilson 10 17.2 19 2.04 1 2

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (0-0) makes the start for the Dodgers, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The Dodgers have not been a moneyline underdog when Gonsolin starts this season.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Gonsolin’s two starts with a total this season both went over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Caleb Ferguson 15 14.1 14 1.26 6 0
Yency Almonte 15 14.1 11 6.91 2 0
Brusdar Graterol 15 14 11 3.21 3 2
Evan Phillips 13 12 16 2.25 2 5
Shelby Miller 13 14.2 14 1.23 0 1

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have racked up at least two long balls in 13 games this season, and are 10-3 in those outings.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in its three games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits 19 times this season, and has a 14-5 record in those games.
  • Milwaukee is 14-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Brewers are 10-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 14 of the 18 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-2.
  • In 18 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 15-3.
  • In 22 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 19-3.
  • They have a 15-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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