Astros vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 7, 2023

The Houston Astros (17-17) and Los Angeles Angels (19-16) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, at 9:38 PM ET. The Astros are coming off a series defeat to the Mariners, and the Angels a series loss to the Rangers.

The Astros are favored (-130 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Angels (+111). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of May 8, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Angels Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -130 +111 9

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won nine out of the 22 games, or 40.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston is 8-11 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 34 games with a total this season.
  • The Astros are 16-18-0 ATS in their 34 games with a spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 6
ERA 3.38
K/9 9.0

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have been victorious in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has a mark of 4-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Angels have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 18 of 35 chances this season.
  • The Angels have posted a record of 15-20-0 against the spread this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 4.96
K/9 10.3

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown

  • Brown’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Brown has made three starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 5.7 frames when he pitches.
  • Brown’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
  • Brown’s team is 4-2 when he starts this season.
  • Games Brown has started this season hit the over three times in six chances.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 17 17.1 29 1.56 4 2
Rafael Montero 15 13.2 19 5.27 2 1
Phil Maton 15 18 19 1.00 1 0
Ryan Pressly 14 13.1 10 3.38 0 4
Héctor Neris 13 14 16 1.93 3 1

Angels Probable Pitcher – Patrick Sandoval

  • Sandoval (3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Angels, his seventh of the season.
  • In his last time out on Tuesday, the left-hander went five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • Sandoval is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
  • The Angels were the underdog on the moneyline for two Sandoval starts this season — they split the games.
  • Over Sandoval’s six starts, his team is 3-3.
  • Sandoval’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of six contests.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 16 16.2 22 1.08 2 7
Matt Moore 15 16.1 17 1.10 8 0
Andrew Wantz 9 13.1 13 0.68 1 0
Jaime Barria 9 20.1 20 2.21 1 0
Ryan Tepera 8 7 7 6.43 2 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros are 5-4 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • Houston has gone 4-2 in its six games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits 19 times this season, and has a 14-5 record in those games.
  • Houston is 15-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Astros have drawn five or more walks in seven games this season, and are 4-3 in those contests.

Angels Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has won four of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 13 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Los Angeles has a 13-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won six of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Astros vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-130)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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