The Pittsburgh Pirates (20-15) host the Colorado Rockies (14-21) to open a three-game series at PNC Park, with first pitch at 6:35 PM ET on Monday. The Pirates are on the back of a series defeat to the Blue Jays, and the Rockies a series win over the Mets.
The Pirates are favored (-181 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Rockies (+154). The game’s total is set at 8.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 8, 2023 at 5:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -181 | +154 | 8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- This season, the Pirates have been favored eight times and won seven of those games.
- Pittsburgh has not been bigger favorites this season than the -181 moneyline set for this game.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 64.4% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 35 games with a total this season.
- The Pirates have an ATS record of 20-15-0 in 35 games with a spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been underdogs in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Colorado has been victorious seven times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 39.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Colorado and its opponents have gone over in 15 of its 35 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rockies have posted a record of 16-19-0 against the spread this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- Keller’s team is 6-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Keller has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Keller’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Keller’s team has won five of his seven starts.
- Games Keller has started this season hit the over five times in seven chances.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 14 | 14 | 15 | 3.21 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 14 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 9 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 14 | 15.2 | 10 | 2.30 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 14 | 16 | 22 | 2.81 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 12 | 14.2 | 16 | 1.84 | 2 | 0 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland
- Freeland gets the start for the Rockies, his eighth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA and 26 strikeouts through 38 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the lefty went five scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
- Freeland will look to prolong a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per outing).
- The Rockies have been the moneyline underdog in five of Freeland’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those games.
- Freeland’s team is 3-4 in his seven starts.
- Freeland’s starts hit the over on the run total two times in seven games with a set total this season.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 16 | 24 | 25 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Lawrence | 15 | 18.1 | 19 | 1.47 | 4 | 0 |
| Brad Hand | 14 | 12.2 | 18 | 3.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 14 | 22 | 20 | 1.23 | 1 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 14 | 13.1 | 20 | 4.73 | 0 | 5 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have hit at least a pair of home runs in 13 games this season, and won each outing.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in its 10 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 19 times this season, and has a 14-5 record in those games.
- Pittsburgh is 13-2 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Pirates are 9-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in six games this season and are 5-1 in those matchups.
- Colorado has won five of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 13-7 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Colorado has won 11 of its 14 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-2
Pirates vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-181)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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