Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 7, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (16-18) and Detroit Tigers (15-18) battle in AL Central action, on Monday at 6:10 PM ET.

The Tigers are road underdogs (+170) versus the Guardians (-200). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.

The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of May 8, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -200 +170 7.5

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 21 games this season and won 10 (47.6%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has not won as favorites of -200 or more on the moneyline this season in five such games.
  • The Guardians have a 66.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of 34 opportunities.
  • In 34 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 12-22-0 ATS.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 6
ERA 2.97
K/9 6.9

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 15 wins in the 33 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 37% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of its 34 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 20-14-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 4.30
K/9 6.5

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee

  • Bibee has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs.
  • Bibee has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Bibee’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Bibee’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Bibee this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 19 18.1 11 1.96 0 12
James Karinchak 18 16.2 21 5.40 8 0
Trevor Stephan 15 14 16 1.93 4 1
Enyel De Los Santos 12 11.1 9 1.59 1 0
Eli Morgan 11 14 15 0.64 2 1

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz (0-3 with a 6.67 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 28 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his seventh of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the New York Mets, the left-hander threw six innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Wentz will try to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.7 innings per outing).
  • The Tigers have a 3-4 record in Wentz’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Wentz’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Wentz’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of seven contests.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Alex Lange 16 15.2 21 1.15 1 6
Jason Foley 15 15.2 11 1.72 8 2
José Cisnero 13 12 10 3.00 4 0
Chasen Shreve 12 11.2 10 6.94 2 0
Mason Englert 11 19 18 5.21 2 0

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 3-1 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Cleveland has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits in 16 games this season, and is 10-6 in those contests.
  • Cleveland has an 8-2 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 8-3 in those contests.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won four of the seven games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Detroit has won four of its five games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 11 of the 15 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has won nine of its 11 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 3-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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