The Seattle Mariners (16-17) host the Houston Astros (17-16) at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Mariners are the home favorite (-130) versus the Astros (+111). The total for this game is set at 8.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 7, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -130 | +111 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 11, or 50%, of the 22 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Seattle has entered 16 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 8-8 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
- So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of 33 games with a total.
- The Mariners have an ATS record of 16-17-0 in 33 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been victorious in eight, or 72.7%, of the 11 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Houston has a mark of 3-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 18 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 33 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 16-17-0 against the spread.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryce Miller
- Miller and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, throwing six innings and giving up one earned run.
- Miller’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Miller’s team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Miller with a total this season hit the under.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 18 | 15.1 | 30 | 5.28 | 3 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 18 | 18 | 24 | 3.50 | 0 | 9 |
| Trevor Gott | 17 | 16.1 | 17 | 2.20 | 5 | 0 |
| Gabe Speier | 15 | 12.2 | 10 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Justin Topa | 14 | 13 | 13 | 1.38 | 7 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak will make his first start of the season for the Astros.
- The 27-year-old right-hander pitched in relief in his most recent outing this season, his only action so far.
- Bielak’s team was never the underdog on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 16 | 16.1 | 26 | 1.65 | 4 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 15 | 13.2 | 19 | 5.27 | 2 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 14 | 17 | 19 | 1.06 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Pressly | 14 | 13.1 | 10 | 3.38 | 0 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 13 | 14 | 16 | 1.93 | 3 | 1 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 6-3 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Seattle has gone 2-1 in its three games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 13 times this season, and has an 8-5 record in those games.
- Seattle is 12-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have gone 7-2 in the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in nine games this season and are 5-4 in those matchups.
- Houston has gone 4-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 14 of the 19 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Houston has a 15-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 4-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (+111)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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