The Philadelphia Phillies (15-19) will attempt to stop a seven-game losing streak when hosting the Boston Red Sox (21-14) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The favored Phillies (-122 on the moneyline) host the Red Sox (+104). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of May 7, 2023 at 11:16 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -122 | +104 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won nine out of the 18 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 8-7, a 53.3% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 34 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 14-20-0 in 34 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 6.07 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 11, or 55%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has been victorious nine times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 24 of 35 chances this season.
- The Red Sox are 23-12-0 against the spread in their 35 games that had a posted line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up eight earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday.
- In six starts, Walker has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 4.7 frames per outing.
- Walker’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Walker’s team has won three of his six starts.
- Out of Walker’s six starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Soto | 17 | 15.1 | 19 | 4.70 | 6 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 16 | 14 | 14 | 5.14 | 4 | 0 |
| Connor Brogdon | 16 | 17.2 | 16 | 3.06 | 1 | 0 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 14 | 12 | 17 | 8.25 | 3 | 3 |
| José Alvarado | 13 | 13.1 | 24 | 2.03 | 3 | 5 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- Houck gets the start for the Red Sox, his seventh of the season. He is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA and 29 strikeouts through 32 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw six innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Houck will look to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
- The Red Sox have a 2-1 record in Houck’s three starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Houck’s team has won five of his six starts.
- Houck’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of six contests.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schreiber | 17 | 16.2 | 20 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryan Brasier | 16 | 15.2 | 13 | 8.04 | 1 | 1 |
| Richard Bleier | 14 | 14.2 | 10 | 5.52 | 2 | 0 |
| Josh Winckowski | 13 | 23 | 18 | 1.57 | 4 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 11 | 10.2 | 16 | 0.84 | 0 | 8 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 8-2 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Philadelphia has had five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 8-2 in those outings.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 24 times this season, and has a 12-12 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 9-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 3-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 10-3 in those matchups.
- Boston has gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 22 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-5.
- Boston has a 19-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-2
Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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