Giants vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – May 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 7, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (15-17) have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Milwaukee Brewers (18-15) on Sunday at Oracle Park, at 4:05 PM ET.

The Brewers are an underdog (+123 on the moneyline) when they visit the Giants (-145). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The insights in this article reflect odds as of May 7, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -145 +123 9

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been favorites in 11 games this season and won five (45.5%) of those contests.
  • San Francisco has a record of 2-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 32 chances.
  • The Giants are 15-17-0 ATS in their 32 games with a spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 19
ERA 4.86
K/9 8.7

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those games.
  • This year, Milwaukee has won five of nine games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 14 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Brewers have an against the spread record of 15-18-0 in 33 games with a line this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 7
ERA 3.92
K/9 8.0

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Ross Stripling

  • Stripling’s team is 1-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings pitched against the Houston Astros on Tuesday.
  • Stripling has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Stripling has started, his team is 1-2.
  • Games Stripling has started this season hit the over one time in three chances.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
John Brebbia 15 13.2 21 5.93 5 0
Camilo Doval 15 14.2 19 2.45 0 7
Scott Alexander 14 11.1 7 6.35 2 0
Tyler Rogers 14 17.1 16 2.60 5 1
Taylor Rogers 14 10.2 8 5.91 1 1

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser

  • Houser takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Brewers.
  • The 30-year-old right-hander last appeared Tuesday, Sept. 27 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he started and went 3 1/3 innings.
  • Houser and his team finished with a 4-6 record in the 10 games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
  • His team finished 9-12 in games he pitched in last season.
  • The games he pitched last season went over the total set by sportsbooks 10 times in 21 opportunities.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 16 12.1 7 5.11 4 0
Peter Strzelecki 16 15 10 4.20 8 0
Joel Payamps 14 14.1 12 3.14 2 1
Devin Williams 10 9.1 14 0.00 0 5
Bryse Wilson 10 17.2 19 2.04 1 2

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants have racked up two or more long balls in 16 games this season, and are 10-6 in those contests.
  • San Francisco has gone 4-1 in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 7-6 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco has a 10-5 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn at least five walks in 10 games this season, and are 6-4 in those contests.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in three games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 13 of the 18 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Milwaukee has won 13 of its 15 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Giants vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+123)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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