The Toronto Blue Jays (20-14) aim to sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates (20-14) on Sunday at PNC Park, beginning at 1:35 PM ET.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays (-133 on the moneyline to win) take the field at the Pirates (+114). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 7, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -133 | +114 | 9 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 25 games this season and won 15 (60%) of those contests.
- Toronto has entered 20 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 12-8 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 57.1%.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of 34 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 18-16-0 against the spread in their 34 chances this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (50%) in those games.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won 10 of 20 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 34 chances this season.
- In 34 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 20-14-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi
- Kikuchi and his team are 5-1-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- Kikuchi has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- Kikuchi’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Kikuchi’s team has won five of his six starts.
- Games Kikuchi has started this season hit the over two times in six chances.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 17 | 16.2 | 21 | 1.62 | 8 | 0 |
| Jordan Romano | 15 | 13.1 | 17 | 3.38 | 0 | 9 |
| Tim Mayza | 15 | 11.1 | 12 | 0.79 | 3 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 15 | 15 | 18 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Anthony Bass | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.55 | 1 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- Contreras (3-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his seventh of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the righty went 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Contreras is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 frames per start.
- The Pirates are 3-2 in Contreras’ five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Contreras’ team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- Contreras’ starts went over the run total three times in six games with a set total this season.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | 14 | 14 | 15 | 3.21 | 9 | 0 |
| David Bednar | 14 | 14 | 19 | 0.64 | 0 | 9 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 14 | 15.2 | 10 | 2.30 | 3 | 2 |
| Dauri Moreta | 13 | 15 | 21 | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 11 | 13.2 | 14 | 1.98 | 2 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 6-3 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Toronto is undefeated in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 17-8 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Toronto has a 12-6 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and are 5-3 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all 13 of their games in which they’ve hit two or more homers this season.
- Pittsburgh has collected five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 14-4 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 13-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won nine of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Blue Jays vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+114)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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