The Arizona Diamondbacks (19-14) will look to Lourdes Gurriel Jr., currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Washington Nationals (13-20) at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks are the home favorite (-152) against the Nationals (+129). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -152 | +129 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won seven of those games.
- This season Arizona has won three of its four games when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 60.3% chance to win.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 33 games with a total this season.
- In 33 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 19-14-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 13, or 39.4%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Washington has won 11 of 25 games when listed as at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 14 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals have an against the spread record of 20-13-0 in 33 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.59 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson
- Nelson and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, April 30, when he tossed four innings while giving up six earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- Nelson has made five starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- Nelson’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Nelson’s team has won one of his six starts this season.
- Out of Nelson’s six starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 16 | 15.1 | 16 | 5.87 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 16 | 12.2 | 21 | 4.26 | 1 | 5 |
| Miguel Castro | 15 | 14 | 10 | 1.93 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyle Nelson | 14 | 12.1 | 17 | 1.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 14 | 13.1 | 10 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams gets the start for the Nationals, his seventh of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the Chicago Cubs while surrendering four hits.
- Williams will try to last five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
- The Nationals have a 3-3 record in Williams’ six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team is 3-3 in his six starts.
- Williams has had six starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 14 | 14.2 | 17 | 2.45 | 7 | 0 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 14 | 13.1 | 12 | 6.75 | 0 | 7 |
| Mason Thompson | 14 | 21 | 20 | 3.43 | 1 | 1 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. | 14 | 13 | 10 | 2.08 | 5 | 1 |
| Erasmo Ramírez | 13 | 15.1 | 8 | 4.70 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit two or more round-trippers in 11 games this season, and are 7-4 in those contests.
- Arizona has gone 6-2 in its eight games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 20 times this season, and has a 14-6 record in those games.
- Arizona is 14-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 3-1 over the four games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won three of the five games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington is undefeated in four games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 10-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has won seven of its 12 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In seven games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 4-3
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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