The New York Yankees (18-16) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (27-7) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Rays are an underdog (+102 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Yankees (-120). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 11:13 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -120 | +102 | 7.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 16 out of the 25 games, or 64%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 14-9, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 11 of 34 chances this season.
- In 34 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 17-17-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays were defeated in the one game they played as the underdog this season.
- Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +102 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 34 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rays are 22-12-0 against the spread in their 34 games that had a posted line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- Cole’s team is 6-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Cole has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Cole and his team have won each of the seven games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Cole and his team have won each of the seven games he’s started this season.
- In Cole’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 14 | 12 | 12 | 2.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 13 | 15.1 | 21 | 1.76 | 3 | 0 |
| Clay Holmes | 13 | 11 | 12 | 4.09 | 1 | 4 |
| Ian Hamilton | 12 | 19 | 23 | 1.42 | 0 | 1 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 12 | 11.2 | 13 | 3.09 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Javy Guerra
- Guerra (0-0) starts for the Rays, his second this season.
- In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday — the right-hander threw one scoreless inning against the New York Yankees without surrendering a hit.
- The Rays have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Guerra starts this season.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Guerra’s lone start with a total this season went under.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 14 | 13.1 | 17 | 1.35 | 4 | 3 |
| Colin Poche | 14 | 12 | 6 | 1.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | 14 | 11.1 | 14 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 13 | 19 | 15 | 4.26 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen Beeks | 10 | 15.2 | 10 | 6.89 | 2 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 8-3 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- New York’s .378 slugging percentage is 23rd in baseball.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 17 games this season, and is 11-6 in those contests.
- New York is 8-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 6-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 17 of the 19 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-1.
- They have a record of 21-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Tampa Bay has won 20 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- When drawing five or more walks in a game this season, they are undefeated across nine such contests.
Yankees vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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