The Minnesota Twins (19-15) and Cleveland Guardians (15-18) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
As the favorite, the Twins (-156 moneyline odds) play at the Guardians (+134). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -156 | +134 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 17, or 77.3%, of those games.
- Minnesota is 9-4 this season when entering a game favored by -156 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 60.9% chance to win.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 14 of 34 games with a total.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 19-15-0 in 34 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.86 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with five wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win one times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or longer on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 12 of its 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 33 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 11-22-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan
- Ryan and his team have a record of 5-1-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Ryan has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Ryan’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-1.
- In games Ryan has started, his team is 5-1.
- Games started by Ryan have a 5-1-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 16 | 15 | 11 | 1.20 | 6 | 2 |
| Griffin Jax | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3.86 | 6 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 14 | 12.2 | 16 | 2.13 | 0 | 7 |
| Jovani Moran | 12 | 14.2 | 17 | 5.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Emilio Pagán | 10 | 12.1 | 12 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, his seventh of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.73 ERA and 17 strikeouts through 32 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last pitched on Monday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Quantrill has four starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
- The Guardians were named the moneyline underdog for two Quantrill starts this season — they won both.
- Quantrill’s team has won four of his six starts.
- Quantrill’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in six games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 18 | 17.1 | 10 | 2.08 | 0 | 11 |
| James Karinchak | 17 | 15.2 | 20 | 5.74 | 7 | 0 |
| Trevor Stephan | 15 | 14 | 16 | 1.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 12 | 11.1 | 9 | 1.59 | 1 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 11 | 14 | 15 | 0.64 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two dingers in 14 games this season, and are 12-2 in those contests.
- Minnesota is undefeated in its five games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 19 games this season, and is 14-5 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 11-2 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in eight games this season, and are 5-3 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 3-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In three games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 2-1.
- They have a record of 9-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has a 8-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-3
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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